Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | +8.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +19 (100-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 30 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Eddie House * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Kendall Gill * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Chris Gatling * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Malik Allen | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Sean Marks | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 45 | 10-18 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 32 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Ollie * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 25 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jonathan Bender * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Primoz Brezec | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bruno Sundov | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter