Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +6 (105-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antawn Jamison * | 34 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 30 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 26 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Chris Mills * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 22 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 16 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Williams * | 48 | 9-21 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 40 | 7-17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 34 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 33 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Rodney Buford * | 28 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Grant Long * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Tony Massenburg * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter