Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.4% | 36.6% | -3.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 46 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 44 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 42 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| David Robinson * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Cherokee Parks | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Barry * | 40 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 39 | 9-22 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 37 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jerome James * | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Olumide Oyedeji * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Randy Livingston * | 13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Shammond Williams * | 13 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
* = starter