Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (92-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 39 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 20 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Hanno Mottola | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Cal Bowdler | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Leon Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 42 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 31 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 27 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 30 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Eddie House * | 24 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Chris Gatling * | 21 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Kendall Gill * | 17 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Anthony Carter | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sean Marks | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter