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2002-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 38.1% 61.9% -
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% -
Margin 52.2% 47.8% -0.5 (25.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -26 (82-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 33 7-19 1-6 3-4 10 5 3 2 2 18 17 -
Steve Nash * 32 3-5 1-2 1-2 2 9 3 0 5 8 12 -
Michael Finley * 30 10-20 2-4 2-3 5 2 1 0 0 24 12 -
Greg Buckner * 26 5-7 1-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 11 7 -
Raef LaFrentz * 26 4-10 1-4 5-5 13 2 1 1 0 14 21 -
Eduardo Najera * 26 4-8 0-0 2-3 11 0 1 2 2 10 14 -
Nick Van Exel * 25 4-9 2-5 3-4 5 7 0 0 4 13 12 -
Johnny Newman * 10 1-2 1-2 1-2 0 0 2 0 0 4 4 -
Shawn Bradley 9 1-4 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
Wang Zhi-zhi 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -
Avery Johnson 8 1-4 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 4 1 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Walter McCarty * 34 5-11 2-6 1-2 7 1 1 0 0 13 11 -
Tony Delk * 32 7-14 0-4 3-4 6 2 3 0 1 17 13 -
Antoine Walker * 29 1-7 0-2 3-4 7 3 1 0 4 5 5 -
Erick Strickland * 25 2-8 1-4 2-2 5 4 0 0 2 7 6 -
Paul Pierce * 24 6-13 1-4 6-7 4 0 1 0 3 19 8 -
Rodney Rogers * 21 1-5 0-2 2-2 3 3 1 0 3 4 3 -
Eric Williams * 19 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Kedrick Brown * 14 2-4 1-2 1-2 6 1 2 0 3 6 8 -
Tony Battie * 10 1-4 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 3 0 2 3 -
Vitaly Potapenko 9 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 3 -2 -
Mark Blount 8 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
Joseph Forte 8 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter