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2002-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 55.6% 44.4% -
Bradley-Terry 53.3% 46.7% -
Margin 69.0% 31.0% -4.4 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +2 (113-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 40 11-18 2-3 10-12 8 2 1 1 1 34 27 -
Michael Finley * 37 6-16 0-2 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 12 2 -
Nick Van Exel * 30 8-13 4-6 0-0 1 9 0 0 2 20 15 -
Steve Nash * 29 3-10 1-4 0-0 3 8 0 0 2 7 6 -
Raef LaFrentz * 21 3-4 2-3 0-0 5 0 0 2 1 8 10 -
Shawn Bradley * 19 3-3 0-0 8-8 8 0 0 1 0 14 20 -
Wang Zhi-zhi * 14 3-5 2-3 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 9 8 -
Greg Buckner * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 0 6 -
Avery Johnson * 12 2-5 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
Eduardo Najera * 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Johnny Newman * 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wally Szczerbiak * 44 12-16 2-3 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 26 17 -
Chauncey Billups * 40 8-18 2-6 5-5 3 17 0 0 2 23 23 -
Kevin Garnett * 34 8-12 0-0 4-7 18 5 2 1 1 20 33 -
Rasho Nesterovic * 34 9-14 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 18 10 -
Sam Mitchell * 29 4-9 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 8 3 -
Anthony Peeler * 19 1-5 0-1 1-1 3 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Joe Smith * 10 2-3 0-0 4-4 0 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
Robert Pack * 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 0 2 -
Felipe Lopez * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Gary Trent 14 2-4 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 0 0 7 5 -

* = starter