Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.1% | 84.9% | +9.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +1 (81-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Mourning * | 41 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 39 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 38 | 11-17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 37 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 17 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Eddie House * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Chris Gatling * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kendall Gill | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Williams * | 43 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 42 | 8-19 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Antonio Davis * | 40 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Alvin Williams * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Keon Clark * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Eric Montross * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Chris Childs * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Hakeem Olajuwon * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jermaine Jackson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter