Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.7% | 32.3% | -4.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -5 (82-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 45 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 5-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 44 | 6-19 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 28 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 8-8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 22 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rodney Rogers | 17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 42 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 38 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 14-17 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -2 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 21 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Eddie House * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Chris Gatling * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter