Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.5% | 95.5% | +16.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +11 (111-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Battier * | 38 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 37 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 28 | 3-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 28 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Rodney Buford * | 22 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Grant Long * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 20 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Eddie Gill * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Tony Massenburg * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Antonis Fotsis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi * | 24 | 7-9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 23 | 10-12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter