Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.1% | 43.9% | -1.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -10 (94-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 38 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 33 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Jonathan Bender * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Ollie * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ron Mercer | 18 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Mourning * | 41 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 39 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 38 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Eddie House * | 23 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Chris Gatling * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kendall Gill * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter