Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -3 (102-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 45 | 12-21 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 31 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| David Robinson * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 12-15 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 28 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 19 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Charles Smith * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 48 | 8-17 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 44 | 12-19 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 41 | 10-19 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 31 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 38 | 1-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 32 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Eduardo Najera | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter