Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.9% | 12.1% | -10.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -17 (100-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 44 | 12-24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 9 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 34 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 9-9 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 28 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 29 | 12-19 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Johnny Newman * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antawn Jamison * | 41 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 8-11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 41 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Chris Mills * | 21 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dean Oliver | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter