Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.1 | ✓ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +25 (101-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calbert Cheaney * | 37 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Zendon Hamilton * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| George McCloud * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 24 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Mengke Bateer * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Satterfield | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 35 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 28 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Kendall Gill * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Chris Gatling * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Eddie House | 7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Sean Marks | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Malik Allen | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter