Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.9% | 96.1% | +12.8 | ✗ (18.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 9.0% | 91.0% | +12.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -6 (96-102). Ratings: 2001-02 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 35 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Kendall Gill * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jim Jackson | 31 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 24 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis | 25 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Eddie House | 18 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samaki Walker * | 40 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 39 | 12-30 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 12 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 32 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Mark Madsen * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Rick Fox * | 24 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Robert Horry | 26 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Devean George | 24 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter | 15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Brian Shaw | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mitch Richmond | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Slava Medvedenko | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter