Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.0% | 7.0% | -9.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.6% | 15.4% | -9.4 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -1 (86-87). Ratings: 2001-02 season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samaki Walker * | 40 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Rick Fox * | 35 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 35 | 11-22 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 17 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 24 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Mark Madsen * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Devean George | 25 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter | 22 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Robert Horry | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mitch Richmond | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Slava Medvedenko | 7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raef LaFrentz * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 34 | 9-19 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 11 | - |
| James Posey * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 28 | 8-13 | 4-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Scott Williams * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| George McCloud | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 15 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | - |
* = starter