Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.2% | 59.8% | +2.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -12 (91-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.C. Green * | 37 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 36 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Eddie House * | 33 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 20 | 3-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monty Williams * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Dee Brown * | 28 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Don Reid * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Troy Hudson * | 25 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 19 | 8-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| John Amaechi * | 15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 12 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
* = starter