Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.9% | 51.1% | +0.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +2 (91-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn Robinson * | 32 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 32 | 8-15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 20 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Darvin Ham * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 17 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Scott Williams * | 16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jerome Kersey * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Carter * | 40 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 39 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 34 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 32 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 30 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 25 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Eddie House * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter