Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.3% | 14.7% | -9.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -9 (101-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 45 | 8-18 | 3-5 | 2-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 10-13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 34 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 16 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 31 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Calvin Booth * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Howard Eisley * | 25 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Vernon Maxwell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antawn Jamison * | 43 | 9-19 | 0-2 | 13-18 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Vonteego Cummings * | 42 | 6-18 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Chris Porter * | 37 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Corie Blount * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Adam Keefe * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Chris Garner * | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter