Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.3 | ✗ (20.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -17 (73-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Outlaw * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | - |
| Troy Hudson * | 35 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 35 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 26 | 11-20 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Dee Brown * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| John Amaechi * | 23 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Monty Williams * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Don Reid * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie House * | 34 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | -4 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 28 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 20 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 16 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter