Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.0% | 47.0% | -0.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -5 (97-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 45 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 40 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 31 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 31 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 28 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 47 | 13-26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 15 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 45 | 12-23 | 2-4 | 15-16 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 27 | - |
| Milt Palacio * | 39 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Bryant Stith * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Herren | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Walter McCarty | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter