Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | +4.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +15 (96-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Francis * | 38 | 10-16 | 2-5 | 4-8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Cuttino Mobley * | 35 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -5 | - |
| Matt Bullard * | 29 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Thomas * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Kelvin Cato * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Hakeem Olajuwon * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Dan Langhi * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Moochie Norris | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Carlos Rogers | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Sean Colson | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryon Russell * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Karl Malone * | 33 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Olden Polynice * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| John Stockton * | 26 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| John Starks * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Danny Manning * | 12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| John Crotty * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| David Benoit | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Scott Padgett | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter