Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -5 (77-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 44 | 11-23 | 1-5 | 10-19 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 18 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 43 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Bryant Stith * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Randy Brown * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Milt Palacio | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Eric Williams | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Tony Battie | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Walter McCarty | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 40 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 35 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 32 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 15 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 13 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter