Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.3% | 20.7% | -7.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls -7 (90-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Bowen * | 40 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 37 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 36 | 10-20 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 32 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 20 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Eddie House * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elton Brand * | 38 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Ron Mercer * | 37 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Fred Hoiberg * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 26 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Marcus Fizer * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A.J. Guyton * | 21 | 7-8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Corey Benjamin * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Steve Goodrich * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter