Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +8 (104-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Bowen * | 45 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 41 | 10-24 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 41 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 31 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Eddie House * | 15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A.C. Green | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 38 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Glenn Robinson * | 38 | 12-19 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 37 | 6-18 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 2 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 33 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - |
| Jason Caffey * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 24 | 6-14 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Tim Thomas * | 21 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Darvin Ham * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Mark Pope | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter