Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.2% | 31.8% | -4.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat +5 (88-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 46 | 10-22 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 38 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| David Robinson * | 33 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 28 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 23 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Malik Rose | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 43 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 42 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 37 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 34 | 9-18 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Eddie House | 8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
* = starter