Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.2% | 10.8% | -11.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -14 (101-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Robinson * | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 31 | 6-13 | 5-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 29 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 27 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 20 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 19 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Steve Kerr | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Shawnelle Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 13-25 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 15 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson * | 31 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Hanno Mottola * | 23 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Cal Bowdler * | 22 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 21 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Matt Maloney * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dion Glover | 18 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
* = starter