Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.6% | 91.4% | +13.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +28 (109-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Fizer * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ron Mercer * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Fred Hoiberg * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 27 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Dragan Tarlac * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Corey Benjamin * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Guyton * | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Dalibor Bagaric | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 28 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 27 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 24 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Eddie House | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Don MacLean | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ricky Davis | 6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
* = starter