Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +14 (95-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 36 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 35 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Michael Dickerson * | 35 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 34 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Bryant Reeves * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf * | 18 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Tony Massenburg * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Grant Long * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 42 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 40 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 39 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Eddie House * | 25 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 20 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
* = starter