Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | -0.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +10 (114-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Williams * | 44 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Chris Webber * | 43 | 9-25 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 38 | 8-15 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 36 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Lawrence Funderburke * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Darrick Martin | 6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Bowen * | 39 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 36 | 12-21 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 29 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 28 | 7-16 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 24 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Eddie House | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Ricky Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Don MacLean | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter