Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +17 (94-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Grant * | 35 | 11-23 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 25 | 8-18 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Eddie House * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 21 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 19 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Don MacLean * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 38 | 4-16 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Peeler * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 30 | 11-19 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 28 | - |
| Terrell Brandon * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Reggie Slater * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 22 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Sam Mitchell | 13 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Felipe Lopez | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| William Avery | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter