Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.8% | 47.2% | -0.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -7 (86-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 44 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 43 | 10-16 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 42 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 26 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 40 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 34 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Howard Eisley * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Vernon Maxwell * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Gary Trent * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 41 | 11-21 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 40 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 39 | 11-21 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 35 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 32 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Eddie House * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter