Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.6% | 30.4% | -4.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -12 (79-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 40 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 34 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 33 | 7-18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 32 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Eddie House | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Miller * | 36 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Lamond Murray * | 32 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Chris Gatling * | 25 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Chris Mihm * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Bimbo Coles * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Robert Traylor * | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter