Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.1% | 94.9% | +16.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +29 (124-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brevin Knight * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Hanno Mottola * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 25 | 8-13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 23 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Chris Crawford * | 20 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Dion Glover * | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Pepe Sanchez * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Cal Bowdler | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 34 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 27 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 26 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| David Robinson * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Derrick Dial * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Steve Kerr | 9 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
* = starter