Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.3% | 44.7% | -1.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -4 (93-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 45 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 10-16 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 31 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 42 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 38 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 8-10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 37 | 6-17 | 1-10 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 27 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Eddie House * | 4 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 47 | 4-23 | 1-4 | 12-15 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 44 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 24 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 43 | 15-28 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 10 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 35 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Billy Owens * | 20 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Mateen Cleaves * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dana Barros | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter