Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.8% | 49.2% | -0.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -7 (86-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 42 | 13-29 | 3-3 | 7-9 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 20 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 37 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 33 | 3-15 | 2-10 | 3-3 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Don Reid * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| John Amaechi * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Troy Hudson * | 14 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Monty Williams * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio McDyess * | 43 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 39 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 7 | - |
| James Posey * | 35 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 29 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| George McCloud * | 26 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Goldwire | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter