Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +3 (85-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 43 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 37 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Chris Crawford * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 26 | 5-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Dion Glover * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Hanno Mottola * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson * | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Van Exel * | 42 | 6-16 | 0-4 | 6-9 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 37 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| James Posey * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 29 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| George McCloud * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Goldwire * | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter