Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | -0.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -3 (104-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 46 | 10-20 | 1-1 | 10-14 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 43 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 11-12 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 33 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| David Robinson * | 33 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Derrick Dial * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 45 | 10-24 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 42 | 11-16 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 25 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 35 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Howard Eisley * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Gary Trent | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Eduardo Najera | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter