Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✗ (18.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -15 (85-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 40 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 37 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 36 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Rodney Rogers * | 29 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Mario Elie * | 19 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Vinny Del Negro * | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Daniel Santiago * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Elliot Perry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 30 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 29 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 28 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 20 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Eddie House * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Don MacLean | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter