Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 79.3% | 20.7% | -7.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +7 (89-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 44 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 40 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 40 | 6-21 | 1-10 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 29 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 28 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Eddie House | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elton Brand * | 45 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Ron Mercer * | 44 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Bryce Drew * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Fizer * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Khalid El-Amin * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Fred Hoiberg * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Dalibor Bagaric | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter