Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.3% | 85.7% | +9.8 | ✓ (23.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +33 (117-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Van Exel * | 33 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 32 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 32 | 8-13 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 10 | - |
| James Posey * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| George McCloud * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 20 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Goldwire * | 14 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Tariq Abdul-Wahad * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peja Stojakovic * | 35 | 11-19 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 15 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 35 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 34 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 24 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Scot Pollard * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Lawrence Funderburke * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Darrick Martin | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jabari Smith | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter