Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | +0.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +1 (99-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 40 | 12-25 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Bryant Stith * | 39 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 38 | 9-21 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Kenny Anderson * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 25 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Milt Palacio | 16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Randy Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Carr | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Bibby * | 43 | 10-15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 28 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 42 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Bryant Reeves * | 35 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Michael Dickerson * | 35 | 7-16 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Grant Long * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tony Massenburg * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter