Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +13 (102-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Rose * | 41 | 6-18 | 2-6 | 5-8 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 40 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 40 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Travis Best * | 28 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 24 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Zan Tabak * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jonathan Bender * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 43 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 40 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 25 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Eddie House | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter