Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | +3.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +9 (103-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Van Exel * | 43 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 37 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| James Posey * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| George McCloud * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Robert Pack | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Rose * | 43 | 11-23 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 39 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Travis Best * | 36 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 27 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Zan Tabak * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Bruno Sundov * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jonathan Bender * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Derrick McKey * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter