Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.7% | 30.3% | -4.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -11 (80-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 42 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 41 | 7-14 | 2-2 | 8-8 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 27 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 40 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 28 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A.C. Green | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 42 | 13-27 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 15 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 36 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Dion Glover * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Chris Crawford * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Hanno Mottola * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Roshown McLeod * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tony Smith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter