Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.3% | 75.7% | +6.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +4 (95-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 44 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 40 | 5-16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 39 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 39 | 8-17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 27 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 50 | 10-22 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Howard Eisley * | 46 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 43 | 5-20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -5 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Gary Trent * | 13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Loy Vaught | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter