Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.6 | ✗ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -18 (85-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 39 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 38 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 33 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 28 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 27 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Eddie House * | 15 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Don MacLean | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Francis * | 44 | 6-18 | 0-5 | 9-11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Cuttino Mobley * | 37 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 10-10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Hakeem Olajuwon * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Thomas * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Moochie Norris * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Maurice Taylor * | 18 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Walt Williams * | 13 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Carlos Rogers * | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Matt Bullard * | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jason Collier | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dan Langhi | 4 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter