Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✗ (24.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -22 (59-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 36 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 30 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 29 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 27 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 27 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 41 | 7-27 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Monty Williams * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 22 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| John Amaechi * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Troy Hudson * | 18 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -5 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter