Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.8% | 43.2% | -1.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +5 (105-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Francis * | 44 | 9-16 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Cuttino Mobley * | 42 | 7-23 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Maurice Taylor * | 37 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Moochie Norris * | 32 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Kenny Thomas * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Carlos Rogers * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Walt Williams * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Matt Bullard * | 11 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio McDyess * | 42 | 6-19 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 38 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 13-15 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 26 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 37 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 35 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - |
| James Posey * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| George McCloud * | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter