Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✗ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -11 (92-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 43 | 8-21 | 3-7 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 40 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 38 | 8-13 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Todd Fuller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 45 | 13-27 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 15 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 42 | 12-22 | 0-0 | 7-16 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 18 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 31 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Rick Fox * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Rider * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Ron Harper * | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Brian Shaw * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Mark Madsen * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Greg Foster | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tyronn Lue | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Devean George | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter