Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +18 (97-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Van Exel * | 33 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| James Posey * | 31 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 29 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| George McCloud * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 16 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tariq Abdul-Wahad | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 41 | 8-19 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 9-21 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 36 | 6-12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Howard Eisley * | 27 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Loy Vaught * | 21 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Courtney Alexander * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Gary Trent | 11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Donnell Harvey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter